Whilst the early stages of the season can be notoriously difficult for bettors our very own Football League betting advisor @EuroEliteFL has lapped it up with +12.08pts profit and a staggering 55% ROI! He looks forward to the weekend’s fixture list with his usual high detailed analysis in the search of yet more value.
A key skill to possess in searching for value as a bettor is identifying teams that, week in week out, are overrated or underrated by the general public in relation to the odds on offer. Championship fixtures are popular for accumulator bets up and down the country as many look for strong sides that ‘ought’ to win. Examples of these include Derby, Middlesbrough, Ipswich and any side that have pulled together a string of wins in their previous outings (Brighton). As a general rule of thumb betting on these sides isn’t likely to be advantageous as the bookmakers will have cut their prices to a point of no return in order to profit from the masses of punters backing them on their coupon. This is why you see betting companies on social media chomping at the bit to retweet/share as many winning accas as possible – they know some people will hit 100/1 10-folds but that most will have frittered away a fiver into the Chief Executive’s holiday fund. If you fancy your chances on your side winning the next match, why not place a bet with this Baanpolball sports betting site.
Moving onto my selections for the week and it’s been a topsy-turvy week for Championship favourites Middlesbrough. They lost 1-0 at home to Bristol City last weekend despite creating 17 chances and maintaining 69% possession. This blip in form was followed up with requiring 120 minutes to edge past League One side Burton Albion on Tuesday night. To add to this we’ve also seen influential winger Albert Adomah’s future at the club seem questionable after he was left out of Boro’s 18-man squad in midweek amid speculation of a falling out with Aitor Karanka.
Karanka’s men travel to Hillsborough this week to face a Sheffield Wednesday side that they have failed to beat away from home since September 2009 and in all competitions since November 2012. Carlos Carvalhal’s Owls have won 3 and drawn 1 of their 4 home fixtures in all competitions this season and completed the double over Middlesbrough last season with 2-0 (H) and 3-2 (A) victories. In their 25 home games from the current and previous seasons they’ve conceded on average just 0.8 goals/game in front of home support and match up well against a Boro side that, in this campaign, have found the back of the net just once in 180 minutes of football on their travels. If you’d like to make a bet on any footballing match, major or minor, head on over to sites like 토토사이트
and others to place your bets and see whether the luck is with you.
Wednesday have been defeated just twice in their last 12 Championship home games and seem hugely underrated in the betting markets this weekend, being offered at an eye-catching price of 13/5 to plunge Middlesbrough’s week into further doom and gloom with a home win. We’ll also be backing a generous price of EVENS in the +0.25 Asian Handicap market: half our bet rides on ‘draw no bet’ and the other half on ‘+0.5 handicap’ meaning anything but an away win would result in a tidy profit.
Sheffield Wednesday +0.25 ASIAN HANDICAP @ 2.00 (Bet365) – 2.2 PT STAKE
Sheffield Wednesday WIN @ 3.6 (Bet365) – 0.8 PT STAKE
Next on the agenda is a superb value betting opportunity in the game at Molineaux this weekend between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Charlton Athletic.
Great display of togetherness & passion from Luzon and his players after Gudmundsson’s 90+8th min winner vs Hull City last weekend
Embed from Getty Images
Guy Luzon’s Charlton have started the season in a fantastic vein of form: clinching 2 wins (vs QPR & Hull) and 2 draws (vs Derby & Nottm Forest) from arguably a tougher first 4 games than any other side in the division, a huge testament to their excellent dealings in the transfer window. The Addicks’ additions of Patrick Bauer, Christian Ceballos, Naby Sarr, El-Hadji Ba, Ahmed Kashi have all featured prominently. Kashi in particular was superb in their win versus Hull City last weekend, breaking up play and dictating the game’s flow excellently which should cloud over any doubts from fans of whether the departure of last season’s anchor Yoni Buyens would leave a gaping hole in their midfield. Despite all of this the most important bit of business at Valley Parade over the summer was securing the services of talismanic midfielder Johann Gudmundsson until 2019, as evidenced last weekend in an immense match winning performance including 1 assist and the late goal.
Where Charlton have picked up 6 points from their 2 home games against QPR and Hull, Wolves have managed just 1 from exactly the same 2 fixtures. Surely as good a benchmark as any to judge how the two sides will match up against each other this weekend and yet we see a monumental offering of 15/4 from Coral and Bet365 on Guy Luzon’s side to make it 5 wins and 2 draws in all competitions this season. Last season saw the two sides draw 1-1 and 0-0 against each other and we haven’t seen Wolves record a victory over Charlton since September 2009. Considering 3 of Charlton’s 4 wins this season have been by a ‘win and both teams to score’ outcome 17/2 from BWin seems absolutely absurd and we’ll be having a slice of that versus a Wolves defence that have already shipped 4 goals in 2 games in front of home support! Statistics website Squawka rates Wolves’ defence as having performed worse than any other side so far in the Championship with Charlton’s ranking as 2nd best having conceded just 2 goals in 4 games which also bodes well for the Addicks on Saturday. I feel really confident that Charlton can maintain their unbeaten start to the season here and odds of 68/67 for a +0.5 Asian handicap frankly seem too good to be true.
Charlton Athletic +0.5 ASIAN HANDICAP @ 2.02 (BetVictor) – 2.5 PT STAKE
Charlton Athletic WIN @ 4.75 (Bet365/Coral) – 0.7 PT STAKE
Charlton Athletic WIN & BTTS @ 9.5 (BWin) – 0.3 PT STAKE